Between now and March 22, 2022, Take-Two Interactive -- the parent company of Rockstar Games, 2K, and more -- is releasing 21 games. This is a lot of games, but only four of them are "immersive core" drops, which is a category GTA 6 would fall under.
That said, not only are the odds not great, especially when you consider that two of these four games will be WWE 2K22 and NBA 2K22, but there's actually a much more clear marker that GTA 6 isn't releasing before Marc 22, 2022. If GTA 6 was releasing this fiscal year, it would be represented in the fiscal forecast. Take-Two Interactive would have relayed word to investors of a massive fiscal year. It didn't do this, more or less confirming that the new Grand Theft Auto game isn't releasing this year.
There will be at least one year between the reveal and release of GTA 6, if not two years. Take-Two Interactive hasn't confirmed this, but we know this due to the history of how Rockstar Games has approached marketing its games. In other words, if we don't hear about GTA 6 this year, don't expect it to release next fiscal year either.
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Related Forum: Grand Theft Auto Forum
Source: https://comicbook.com/gaming/news/gta-6-grand-theft-auto-vi-rockstar-games-release-date-2021-update/
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