PS5 Release in 2018 Very Unlikely, Probably Coming in 2020

4.1
Despite not even being announced yet, many are already playing the speculation game of when the PlayStation 5 will release.

Earlier this week, a new report emerged claiming that Sony's new console could launch as early as this year. In other words, we could get the PS5 in 2018. However, this sounds far to outrageously close to be the case. And it likely isn't.

Whether accurate or not, the report opened the can of worms regarding the PS5, and as you know, once you open a can, you can't close it.

That said, Wedbush Securities -- and notable industry -- analyst Michael Pachter has come out and essentially squashed the few remaining hopes that Sony are poised to drop a hardware-sized bomb this year.

According to Pachter, a release later this year for the PS5 is very unlikely, or in his words of “very low probability.” Rather, Pachter speculates and believes that Sony's next console will most likely ship sometime in 2020. However, he also doesn't rule out the possibility that it will release a year prior, in 2019.

“25% [probability] next year and 75% in 2020,” said the analyst.

The gap between the first PlayStation and the PlayStation 2 was notably a little over five years. Meanwhile, the gap between the between the PS2 and PlayStation 3 was roughly six years. And then the gap between the PS3 and the PlayStation 4 was seven years.

Now, a release in 2018 would create a five year gap, which seems unlikely. Meanwhile, 2020 would be in-line with the most previous console gap. However, 2019 would get back to the pre-PS3 ways. So who knows. Both 2019 and 2020 sound completely plausible, but 2018 sounds very, very unlikely.

Personally, if I was a betting man, I would place my chips on 2020. This would provide a nice four-year cushion between the release of PS4 Pro and PS5, as well as offer Sony plenty of marketing time if they choose to reveal in 2018 or 2019. Plus, 2020 is a rad year, and is right around PlayStation's 25-year anniversary.

As always, all of this should be treated as mere and pure speculation. Until Sony announces – or even confirms the PS5's existence – it's likely best to not get too attached to any hypothetical release window.

Posted:
Related Forum: PlayStation Forum

Source: http://comicbook.com/gaming/2018/04/07/playstation-5-release-date-2018-2020/

Comments

"PS5 Release in 2018 Very Unlikely, Probably Coming in 2020" :: Login/Create an Account :: 9 comments

If you would like to post a comment please signin to your account or register for an account.

TOXICPosted:

It would be so stupid if it came out this year, even 2020 is to soon lol.

MazePosted:

No way I'd be spending another $500+ on a new console this year. Hopefully this generation really does last until 2020 because newer consoles should be designed to have longer lifespans in my opinion.

MickersPosted:

Thank god, the cycle is becoming too short and too expensive for casual gamers like myself.

DecyPosted:

Even it coming in 2020 still sounds like a bad idea lol.. Such a pointless upgrade honestly. Maybe if they did another PS4 to top the Pro then fine.. But at this point this is seriously not needed 4K aint even mainstream yet

GibbityTreePosted:

Do we even need new consoles? The way they marketed the shits make it seems like it can last 10+ years like the 360. Still ALOT to be done to the current ecosystem of current-gen consoles.

WLRPosted:

New consoles shouldn't come out for a while current gen still needs life support

XeCookiePosted:

Jeez this still sounds like a terrible idea..

VoroPosted:

Why rush the consoles? Current gen still needs a shit load of help.

661KingPosted:

Predicted this. No way it will drop this year.