Some analysts “concerned” CoD has peaked at retail

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Analysts have started chatting about Call of Duty, what with Black Ops 2 readying for a fall release, and while many seem to think the brand has peaked, Blops 2 will still sell millions upon release.

Speaking with GI International following Activision Blizzard’s Q2 call to investors, analyst Ben Schachter of Macquarie Securities, said the firm has “significant concerns that CoD may have peaked in 2011,” and for various reasons.

Schachter cited industry sales declines, currency fluctuations, Modern Warfare 3′s sales being slightly below Black Ops, and other reasons.

Michael Pachter of Wedbush Securities agreed with Schachter, stating that since annual sales at a 25 million level “are unprecedented,” and that growth in online multiplayer is what initially fueled CoD sales.

“[CoD] was (and probably still is) the best multiplayer experience available, [but] Battlefield multiplayer probably cannibalized it a little bit, and this year, Halo and Medal of Honor could cannibalize CoD a bit more,” Pachter said. “Next year, another Battlefield plus the Respawn and Bungie games probably cannibalize it a bit more.

“There’s nothing wrong with 22 million units sold, or with 19 million or 16 million. CoD will remain the best selling game (at least until GTA) and Activision shouldn’t be concerned if it loses some players at the margin. They created a phenomenon, and others are emulating them.”

Colin Sebastian of RW Baird is of the same opinion as well, noting Activision’s lower financial guidance assumes “Call of Duty is lower this year than last year,” which might have something to do with the current console market.

“Also, if new consoles are coming next year, that is typically a disruptive period for game sales, and that could drive sales lower as well, at least temporarily,” Sebastian continued. “The bigger question I think is whether the franchise (or any franchise) is in a continuous period of decline. Personally, I don’t know which competing console title would take so much share from Call of Duty.”

However, other analysts believe retail and consoles figures can no longer be used as the sole source of sales, as digital and PC sales need to be taken into account as well as the declining retail market overall.

Plus, CoD Online launching in China will provide a new source of revenue for the firm.

Posted:

Source: http://www.vg247.com/2012/08/04/some-analysts-concerned-cod-has-peaked-at-retail/

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yayPosted:

Mazur
Scanty
Mazur
Scanty I love how people keep complaining that all the cods are the same, and then when they see this one they complain about how its too different.


idk what there is to complain about, about the new one, it looks really good. change is good. especially for a constantly same game.


I know, COD NEEDS this change. The last 3 games were the same thing.


right, needs to change, make the multiplayer more challenging, too many campers and tryhards in the game >:(


They need to make it so that if you're standing still for too long, you start taking damage. Also, they need to make it so that going prone takes a while. That would solve everything.

MazurPosted:

Scanty
Mazur
Scanty I love how people keep complaining that all the cods are the same, and then when they see this one they complain about how its too different.


idk what there is to complain about, about the new one, it looks really good. change is good. especially for a constantly same game.


I know, COD NEEDS this change. The last 3 games were the same thing.


right, needs to change, make the multiplayer more challenging, too many campers and tryhards in the game >:(

yayPosted:

Emazing-Lights
Scanty
Mazur
Scanty I love how people keep complaining that all the cods are the same, and then when they see this one they complain about how its too different.


idk what there is to complain about, about the new one, it looks really good. change is good. especially for a constantly same game.


I know, COD NEEDS this change. The last 3 games were the same thing.

Not really Treyarch changes up thier games fine but IW is the company that doesn't do anything but just make the same games over and over again.


That's why treyarch is my favorite "COD" company.

EmazedPosted:

Scanty
Mazur
Scanty I love how people keep complaining that all the cods are the same, and then when they see this one they complain about how its too different.


idk what there is to complain about, about the new one, it looks really good. change is good. especially for a constantly same game.


I know, COD NEEDS this change. The last 3 games were the same thing.

Not really Treyarch changes up thier games fine but IW is the company that doesn't do anything but just make the same games over and over again.

yayPosted:

Mazur
Scanty I love how people keep complaining that all the cods are the same, and then when they see this one they complain about how its too different.


idk what there is to complain about, about the new one, it looks really good. change is good. especially for a constantly same game.


I know, COD NEEDS this change. The last 3 games were the same thing.

ImNotPhlegmAnymoreOKPosted:

Scanty I love how people keep complaining that all the cods are the same, and then when they see this one they complain about how its too different.


I've never seen anyone complain about a cod being to different.

PeetzuhPosted:

Mazur
Minecart
Extr im so damn pumped!


Why? CoD is getting so boring.


for some cod's yes it's getting boring, but this is a brand new one coming out november, so there is something to be excited about!


Yeah, I agree now.

I saw some of the other BO2 videos and it looks so much different and a lot better then any of the others, I'm kind of excited for it now, Lololol. :)

MazurPosted:

Scanty I love how people keep complaining that all the cods are the same, and then when they see this one they complain about how its too different.


idk what there is to complain about, about the new one, it looks really good. change is good. especially for a constantly same game.

yayPosted:

I love how people keep complaining that all the cods are the same, and then when they see this one they complain about how its too different.

MazurPosted:

Minecart
Extr im so damn pumped!


Why? CoD is getting so boring.


for some cod's yes it's getting boring, but this is a brand new one coming out november, so there is something to be excited about!


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